Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005188 0.005733 0.006323 0.007012 0.007796 0.008663 0.009699
2025-07-27 0.004261 0.005000 0.005862 0.006951 0.008302 0.009937 0.012091
2025-08-03 0.003758 0.004584 0.005597 0.006947 0.008723 0.011016 0.014260
2025-08-10 0.003368 0.004234 0.005337 0.006869 0.008984 0.011863 0.016191
2025-08-17 0.003112 0.004014 0.005201 0.006914 0.009382 0.012906 0.018513
2025-08-24 0.002862 0.003772 0.005004 0.006837 0.009578 0.013662 0.020493
2025-08-31 0.002612 0.003504 0.004740 0.006630 0.009545 0.014051 0.021931
2025-09-07 0.002452 0.003349 0.004618 0.006612 0.009786 0.014878 0.024202
2025-09-14 0.002375 0.003302 0.004647 0.006818 0.010393 0.016363 0.027859
2025-09-21 0.002222 0.003131 0.004475 0.006692 0.010439 0.016896 0.029844
2025-09-28 0.002083 0.002973 0.004310 0.006559 0.010454 0.017369 0.031780
2025-10-05 0.001986 0.002871 0.004224 0.006546 0.010670 0.018227 0.034639
2025-10-12 0.001925 0.002825 0.004227 0.006693 0.011210 0.019804 0.039440
2025-10-19 0.001825 0.002710 0.004114 0.006634 0.011368 0.020672 0.042890
2025-10-26 0.001744 0.002623 0.004038 0.006630 0.011627 0.021776 0.047142
2025-11-02 0.001659 0.002521 0.003930 0.006557 0.011739 0.022582 0.050843
2025-11-09 0.001600 0.002460 0.003887 0.006599 0.012085 0.023948 0.056347
2025-11-16 0.001528 0.002371 0.003788 0.006526 0.012185 0.024771 0.060583
2025-11-23 0.001441 0.002253 0.003632 0.006331 0.012004 0.024913 0.062897
2025-11-30 0.001388 0.002190 0.003570 0.006314 0.012206 0.026002 0.068369
2025-12-07 0.001369 0.002186 0.003613 0.006508 0.012897 0.028416 0.078811
2025-12-14 0.001308 0.002103 0.003506 0.006389 0.012862 0.028964 0.083202
2025-12-21 0.001249 0.002022 0.003399 0.006263 0.012799 0.029428 0.087464